Climate Bulletin for Maldives – January 2026

Monthly Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives

(31 January 2026)

Highlights

Monitored:

In January, the central islands received 5 – 12 mm of rainfall and the remaining islands received less. North-Easterly winds prevailed for the northern and central islands; while North-Westerly winds prevailed for the southern islands of Maldives during the month of December. 

Predictions:

A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in the next month, with ENSO-neutral favored through May-July 2026 (55% chance). In June-August 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (62%
chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026. Summary

Monitoring

Prediction

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