Monthly Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives
(31 October 2026)
Highlights
Monitored:
Rainfall – In October, Central and Southern islands received 8 – 20 mm of average rainfall, while the other islands received less. Due to El Niño impacts, Northern, Central and Southern islands enhanced rainfall. The highest daily rainfall was in the Northern islands on 22 October with a peak of 130 mm.
SST – Sea surface temperature (SST) around the Northern and Central islands were 1.5°C above-normal.
Predictions:
El Niño – El Niño conditions have developed into a strong condition and will continuetointensifyinto a very strong El Niño by December 2026 – February 2027.
Rainfall – From 10-16 November, Central andSouthern islands are expected to receive heavy rainfall of 130 mm on 10 Nov. FromNovember-January, thereisa 60% likelihood of Central and Southern islands receiving above-normal tercile rainfall duetotheEl Niñoinfluence.
Monitoring
Prediction
