Monthly Climate Monitoring and Prediction for the Maldives
(30 September 2026)
Highlights
Monitored:
In September, Central and Southern islands received 15- 20 mm of average rainfall, while the other islands received less. Due to El Niño impacts, Central and Southern islands enhanced rainfall. The highest daily rainfall was in the Central and Southern islands on 29 September with a peak of 80 mm. SST Sea surface temperature (SST) around the Northern and Central islands were 1.0°C above-normal.
Predictions:
El Niño conditions have developed into a strong condition and will continue to intensify into a very strong El Niño by December 2026- February 2027. Rainfall- From 6-12 October, Central islands are expected to receive heavy rainfall of 40 mm. From October-December, there is a 70% likelihood of Central islands receiving above-normal tercile rainfall due to the El Niño influence.
Monitoring
Prediction
